Tuesday, January 18, 2011

NAHB Builder Confidence Remains Unchanged In January

by Calculated Risk on 1/18/2011 10:00:00 AM

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reports the housing market index (HMI) was unchanged at 16 in January. The consensus was for a reading of 17. Confidence remains very low ... any number under 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good.

Note: I'm attending the NMHC apartment conference in Palm Springs today - I'll post the graph tonight. Here is the graph from last month (Nothing has changed!)

Press release from the NAHB: Builder Confidence Remains Unchanged In January

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes held unchanged at a relatively low level of 16 for a third consecutive month in January, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today.
...
"The HMI and its subcomponent indexes are holding steady following a below-expectations finish in 2010," noted NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. "At this point, housing remains on the sidelines of a weak economic recovery as consumers and builders wait for clear and consistent indications that jobs and economic output are reviving."
...
While the HMI components gauging current sales conditions and sales expectations for the next six months both held steady from the previous month, at 16 and 25, respectively, the component gauging traffic of prospective buyers edged up a single point to 12 in January.

HMI scores rose by one point in the Midwest and four points in the West in January, to 14 and 15, respectively. Meanwhile, HMI scores fell two points in the Northeast and one point in the South, to 20 and 17, respectively.