Tuesday, January 11, 2011

CoreLogic: House Prices declined 1.6% in November

by Calculated Risk on 1/11/2011 09:55:00 AM

Notes: CoreLogic reports the year-over-year change. The headline for this post is for the change from October to November 2010. The CoreLogic HPI is a three month weighted average of September,October and November, and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA).

From CoreLogic: CoreLogic® Home Price Index Shows Decline for Fourth Straight Month

CoreLogic ... released its November Home Price Index (HPI) which shows that home prices in the U.S. declined for the fourth month in a row. According to the CoreLogic HPI, national home prices, including distressed sales, declined by 5.07 percent in November 2010 compared to November 2009 and declined by 3.35 percent in October 2010 compared to October 2009. Excluding distressed sales, year-over-year prices declined by 2.21 percent in November 2010 compared to November 2009 and declined by 2.24 in October 2010 compared to October 2009. ...

“We’re continuing to see the influence of seasonal declines that typically depress home prices during the latter part of the year, but the fact that the rate of decline increased for November is indicative of the uphill battle we’re facing with the housing recovery,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic.
CoreLogic House Price Index Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery.

This graph shows the national CoreLogic HPI data since 1976. January 2000 = 100.

The index is down 5.07% over the last year, and off 30.9% from the peak.

The index is only 1.2% above the low set in March 2009, and I expect to see a new post-bubble low for this index - possibly as early as next month or maybe in early 2011.