Monday, October 25, 2010

CoreLogic: House Prices Declined 1.2% in August

by Calculated Risk on 10/25/2010 01:41:00 PM

Notes: CoreLogic reports the year-over-year change. The headline for this post is for the change from July 2010 to August 2010. The CoreLogic HPI is a three month weighted average of June, July and August, and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA).

From CoreLogic: August Home Prices Declined 1.5 Percent Year Over Year

CoreLogic ... today released its Home Price Index (HPI) which shows that home prices in the U.S. declined for the first time this year. According to the CoreLogic HPI, national home prices, including distressed sales, declined 1.5 percent in August 2010 compared to August 2009 and increased by 0.6 percent in July 2010 compared to July 2009. Excluding distressed sales, year-over-year prices declined 0.4 percent in August 2010. ...

“Price declines are geographically expanding as 78 out of the largest 100 metropolitan areas are experiencing declines, up from 58 just one month ago” said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic.
Loan Performance House Price Index Click on graph for larger image in new window.

This graph shows the national CoreLogic HPI data since 1976. January 2000 = 100.

The index is down 1.5% over the last year, and off 28.2% from the peak.

The index is 5.4% above the low set in March 2009, and I expect to see a new post-bubble low for this index later this year or early in 2011. As Fleming noted, prices are falling in most areas now (unusually for the summer months).

Earlier posts on Existing Home sales:
  • September Existing Home Sales: 4.53 million SAAR, 10.7 months of supply
  • Existing Home Inventory increases 8.9% Year-over-Year