by Calculated Risk on 10/26/2010 09:00:00 AM
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
Case-Shiller: Home Price declines widespread in August
S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for August (actually a 3 month average of June, July and August).
This includes prices for 20 individual cities, and two composite indices (10 cities and 20 cities).
Note: Case-Shiller reports NSA, I use the SA data.
From S&P: Home Prices Increases Slow Down in August
Data through August 2010, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show a deceleration in the annual growth rates in 17 of the 20 MSAs and the 10- and 20-City Composites in August compared to what was reported for July 2010. The 10-City Composite was up 2.6% and the 20-City Composite was up 1.7% from their levels in August 2009. Home prices decreased in 15 of the 20 MSAs and both Composites in August from their July levels.
![Case-Shiller House Prices Indices](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiG_RVWUU-omLrajpL24m4q9CzzXSWu9jFuVpqNXS0_g1Vh_AzXQ5JF-7ARRjAztL0tIltL4MSbvzSkVO4re85opcCqc_pMcK3rrsMC8u1N5iNmxpi5MZiH7A9Ewu_R2wr2CUKT/s320/CSAug2010.jpg)
The first graph shows the nominal seasonally adjusted Composite 10 and Composite 20 indices (the Composite 20 was started in January 2000).
The Composite 10 index is off 29.2% from the peak, and down 0.2% in August(SA).
The Composite 20 index is off 28.8% from the peak, and down 0.3% in August (SA).
![Case-Shiller House Prices Indices](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjyks02am6YrQa1gI24XWvVu_qcwawAdyli-gQScfy0o_mjPxkdWQ2t5GdCWkkAvd2wAE9eIJkbp3QriYETMxFhkQdEfL61YFW7UEMyLHWRwE52nwzyKKXO4KPNtc6dhqr5C5ga/s320/CSAugYoY2010.jpg)
The Composite 10 is up 2.5% compared to August 2009.
The Composite 20 is up 1.7% compared to August 2009.
The year-over-year increases are slowing and will probably be negative later this year.
The third graph shows the price declines from the peak for each city included in S&P/Case-Shiller indices.
![Case-Shiller Price Declines](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEghgwTc9te2M7i9ypgEpnbu6fIDPenngz6rBauVQFnwb4r7_Dr21G1gcZaYAmZMNg68siKhKMqSW4TYryNOWzCKu3-isckgZoVFCjRzOq8ij41y4KQ9QPkVRtBRxomPVHcqxmDC/s320/CScitiesAug2010.jpg)
Prices in Las Vegas are off 57.5% from the peak, and prices in Dallas only off 6.9% from the peak.
Prices are now falling - and falling just about everywhere. And it appears there are more price declines coming (based on inventory levels and anecdotal reports).