Thursday, March 25, 2010

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease

by Calculated Risk on 3/25/2010 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reports on weekly unemployment insurance claims:

In the week ending March 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 442,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 456,000. The 4-week moving average was 453,750, a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week's revised average of 464,750.
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The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending March 13 was 4,648,000, a decrease of 54,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 4,702,000.
Weekly Unemployment Claims Click on graph for larger image in new window.

This graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased this week by 11,000 to 453,750.

The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The current level of 442,000 (and 4-week average of 453,750) is still high, and suggests continuing weakness in the jobs market. Note: There is no way to compare directly between weekly claims, and net payrolls jobs.

Note: by request, next week I'll post a graph as a percent of covered employment.