by Calculated Risk on 12/08/2009 05:38:00 PM

The following information is from the JPMorgan Chase presentation today at the Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference.

Click on graph for larger image in new window.

The first slide (page 18 in the presentation) shows the progress of the various modification programs at JPM Chase. Only 2% of all trial modification have become permanent (4,302 or 199,033 trial mods).

29% fail to make all their payments during the trial modification program. Another 51% fail to submit all documentation.

The other modification programs are having more success.

The second slide is even more important (slide 15 in the presentation). This shows the weak demand for loans in all categories.

Mortgage 3Q09 YTD applications down 10% YoY

Card 3Q09 YTD sales volume down 7% YoY

Average large corporate loans down 24% YoY to $66.3B at 3Q09 from $86.6B at 3Q08 due to lower demand and increased access to capital markets

Average Mid-Corporate and Middle Market loans down 13% YoY to $51.9B at 3Q09 from $59.6B at 3Q08 due to lower demand and utilization rates

Business Banking 3Q09 YTD origination volume down 66% YoY due to lower demand and tighter underwriting standards

The presentation isn't all gloomy (see page 14):

Overall Commentary

Some initial signs of stability in consumer delinquency trends, but we are not certain if this trend will continue

Prime and subprime mortgage delinquencies impacted by foreclosure moratorium, extended REO timelines and trial modifications