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Thursday, November 12, 2009

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 502 Thousand

by Calculated Risk on 11/12/2009 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reports weekly unemployment insurance claims decreased to 502,000:

In the week ending Nov. 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 502,000, a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 514,000. [revised from 512,000] The 4-week moving average was 519,750, a decrease of 4,500 from the previous week's revised average of 524,250.
The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending Oct. 31 was 5,631,000, a decrease of 139,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 5,770,000.
Weekly Unemployment Claims Click on graph for larger image in new window.

This graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased this week by 4,500 to 519,750, and is now 139,000 below the peak in April. The significant decline from the peak strongly suggests that initial weekly claims have peaked for this cycle.

The level is still very high suggesting continuing job losses.