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Thursday, November 19, 2009

States: Seriously Delinquent Mortgages vs. Unemployment Rate

by Calculated Risk on 11/19/2009 06:45:00 PM

Here is a scatter graph comparing the seriously delinquency rate for mortgage loans vs. unemployment rate for all states. The seriously delinquent rate include 90+ days delinquent loans, and loans in the foreclosure process for Q3 2009 (Source: MBA).

State Unemployment vs Mortgage delinquency Rate Click on graph for larger image in new window.

There is a relationship between delinquency rates and the unemployment rate.

Florida really stands out because of state specific foreclosure laws. Arizona and Nevada also have higher than expected foreclosure rates - possibly because of high investor activity during the housing bubble.

As the unemployment rate continues to rise, the mortgage delinquency rate will increase too.

For more on the MBA National Delinquency Survey, see:

  • From the MBA: Delinquencies Continue to Climb in Latest MBA National Delinquency Survey
  • MBA Forecasts Foreclosures to Peak in 2011
  • Mortgage Delinquencies and Foreclosures by Period Past Due