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Tuesday, September 08, 2009

U.K.: End of Recession, Not "return to normal"

by Calculated Risk on 9/08/2009 11:09:00 AM

From The Times: Recession is over but stagnation may follow

Britain’s economy grew for the first time over a three-month period since May last year, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) said today but warned that the end of recession could turn to a period of stagnation. ...

"This is the first time our GDP indicator has been higher over a three-month average since May of 2008 and reinforces our view that the recession ended in May of this year." ... However, NIESR added: "There may well be a period of stagnation now, with output rising in some months and falling in others; the end of the recession should not be confused with a return to normal economic conditions."
emphasis added
And from Bloomberg: German Industrial Output Fell in July After June Gain
German industrial output fell in July after rising in June, suggesting the recovery from recession may be gradual.

Production declined 0.9 percent from June, when it rose a revised 0.8 percent, the Economy Ministry in Berlin said today.