Wednesday, August 12, 2009

A little Fed Preview

by Calculated Risk on 8/12/2009 01:08:00 PM

I just reread the previous Fed statement to refresh my mind on a few key sentences. Here is the statement from the June 24th meeting.

On the Fed funds rate, I expect no change to this sentence: "The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period."

But I expect some changes to the economic conditions paragraph. The key phrase last month was "the pace of economic contraction is slowing", and it will be interesting to see if the Fed sees the end of contraction now.

As I noted last week, the $300 billion program to buy Treasury securities is almost over, so there will probably be a comment on this program. More in an hour ...