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Wednesday, June 11, 2008

MBIA Letter to Shareholders

by Calculated Risk on 6/11/2008 09:24:00 PM

Press Release: MBIA Issues Letter to Owners.

Most of the news stories today focused on MBIA's announcement that it won't make a planned $900 million capital contribution to MBIA Insurance Corporation. But I also found this comment in the letter interesting:

[B]ased on our discussions with the rating agencies and in trying to think about their challenges, what I believe has really changed in the past three months is that both Moody’s and S&P have far less comfort in forecasting a worst case housing-related stress case loss scenario ...
I'm not surprised that Moody's and S&P feel less comfortable forecasting a worst case for housing - every time they've made a forecast, the housing market has surprised to the downside.