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Monday, August 01, 2022

Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Record-Setting Slowdown in Home Price Growth"

by Calculated Risk on 8/01/2022 10:33:00 AM

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Record-Setting Slowdown in Home Price Growth"

A brief excerpt:

The first graph shows Black Knight’s estimate of monthly house price increases and the year-over-year change in prices.

30 year Mortgage 10 year Treasury
• The annual home price growth rate fell by nearly two full percentage points to 17.3% in June, from 19.3% in the prior month – a 66% stronger deceleration than in the prior month

• June's slowdown surpassed by 50% the 134 BPS plunge precipitated by Volcker-era rate hikes in the early 1980s and was the most significant drop since at least the early 1970s

• Even after hitting the brakes historically in June, it would take six more months of equivalent slowing to bring the annual growth rate down to 5%, more in line with the long-term average
There is much more in the article. You can subscribe at https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/