Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Earlier: NY Fed: Manufacturing Contracts Again in Region, Outlook Improves

by Bill McBride on 12/15/2015 03:08:00 PM

The NY Fed manufacturing survey indicated contraction for the fifth consecutive month in the New York region. However the outlook has improved.

From the NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey

The December 2015 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business activity declined for a fifth consecutive month for New York manufacturers. However, the pace of decline slowed somewhat: the headline general business conditions index, though still negative, moved up six points to -4.6. New orders continued to drop, but shipments increased for the first time since the summer. ...
...
Labor market conditions deteriorated noticeably: the index for number of employees, negative for a fourth consecutive month, fell nine points to -16.2, and the average workweek index plunged thirteen points to -27.3, its lowest level since early 2009.

Indexes for the six-month outlook increased markedly this month, suggesting more widespread optimism about future business conditions. The index for future business conditions jumped eighteen points to 38.5, and the indexes for future new orders and future shipments also rose sharply. Labor market conditions were expected to improve, with the index for expected number of employees little changed at 15.2 and the index for expected workweek rising to 10.1.
emphasis added