Friday, November 09, 2012

Las Vegas Real Estate: Sales increase slightly in October

by Bill McBride on 11/09/2012 06:02:00 PM

This is a key distressed market to follow since Las Vegas has seen the largest price decline of any of the Case-Shiller composite 20 cities.

From the GLVAR: GLVAR reports increasing local home sales, as prices begin to level off heading into winter

GLVAR said the total number of local homes, condominiums and townhomes sold in October was 3,651. That’s up from 3,298 in September, but down from 3,881 total sales in October 2011.
...
The total number of homes listed for sale on GLVAR’s Multiple Listing Service bounced back in October, with a total of 16,778 single-family homes listed for sale at the end of the month. That’s up from 16,775 homes listed for sale at the end September, but down 21.9 percent from one year ago. ...

The number of available homes listed for sale without any sort of pending or contingent offer also increased from the previous month. By the end of October, GLVAR reported 4,079 single-family homes listed without any sort of offer. That’s up 3.4 percent from 3,943 such homes listed in September, but still down 60.6 percent from one year ago.
...
Meanwhile, 44.7 percent of all existing local homes sold during October were short sales. That’s down slightly from a record 44.8 percent in September, but still up dramatically from 25.4 percent one year ago. Continuing a trend of declining foreclosure sales in recent months, bank-owned homes accounted for 11.6 percent of all existing home sales in October, down from 13.6 percent in September.
...
"The biggest thing I noticed in this month’s report is that the inventory of homes available for sale went up. We sold fewer homes in October than we listed,” GLVAR President Kolleen Kelley explained. “As inventory goes up, you’re not going to see prices go up as much. It’s supply and demand.”
A few key points:
• Inventory increased slightly in September, and inventory is down 21.9% from October 2011. However, for single family homes without contingent offers, inventory is still down sharply from a year ago (down 60.6% year-over-year).

• Short sales are almost four times foreclosures now. The GLVAR reported 44.7% of sales were short sales, and only 11.6% foreclosures. We've seen a shift from foreclosures to short sales in most areas (not just in areas with new foreclosure laws).

• The percent distressed sales was extremely high at 56.3% in September (short sales and foreclosures), but down from 58.4% in September.

• There is a push to complete short sales, from the article:
Kelley said many homeowners have been rushing to short-sell their homes by the end of 2012, when the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act is set to expire unless Congress acts to extend it. If Congress does not extend this law by Dec. 31, she said any amount of money a bank writes off in agreeing to sell a home as part of a short sale will become taxable when sellers file their income taxes.

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