by Bill McBride on 11/30/2012 05:01:00 PM
Friday, November 30, 2012
Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate declined in October to 3.35% from 3.41% September. The serious delinquency rate is down from 4.00% in October last year, and this is the lowest level since March 2009.
The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59%.
Freddie Mac reported that the Single-Family serious delinquency rate declined in October to 3.31%, from 3.37% in September. Freddie's rate is down from 3.54% in October 2011, and this is the lowest level since August 2009. Freddie's serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 4.20%.
Note: These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure".
Click on graph for larger image
In 2009, Fannie's serious delinquency rate increased faster than Freddie's rate. Since then, Fannie's rate has been falling faster - and now the rates are at about the same level.
Although this indicates ongoing progress, the "normal" serious delinquency rate is under 1% - and it looks like it will take several years until the rates back to normal.