by Bill McBride on 8/02/2012 08:30:00 AM
Thursday, August 02, 2012
The DOL reports:
In the week ending July 28 the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 365,000, an increase of 8,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 357,000. The 4-week moving average was 365,500, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week's revised average of 368,250.The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.
Click on graph for larger image.
The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims declined to 365,500.
The sharp swings over the last few weeks are apparently related to difficulty adjusting for auto plant shutdowns.
And here is a long term graph of weekly claims:
This was below the consensus forecast of 370,000 and is the lowest level for the four week average since March - and is near the post bubble low of 363,000.
Posted by Bill McBride on 8/02/2012 08:30:00 AM