by Bill McBride on 7/05/2012 08:37:00 AM
Thursday, July 05, 2012
The DOL reports:
In the week ending June 30, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 374,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 388,000. The 4-week moving average was 385,750, a decrease of 1,500 from the previous week's revised average of 387,250.The previous week was revised up from 386,000 to 388,000.
The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.
Click on graph for larger image.
The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims declined slightly to 385,750.
This is just off the high for the year.
And here is a long term graph of weekly claims:
This was below the consensus forecast of 386,000. This is just one week of improvement, and the four week average suggests some renewed weakness in the labor market.
Posted by Bill McBride on 7/05/2012 08:37:00 AM