Wednesday, August 04, 2010

ADP: Private Employment increases 42,000 in July

by Bill McBride on 8/04/2010 08:15:00 AM

ADP reports:

Nonfarm private employment increased 42,000 from June to July 2010 on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the ADP National Employment Report®. The estimated change of employment from May to June was revised up slightly, from the previously reported increase of 13,000 to an increase of 19,000.

July’s rise in private employment was the sixth consecutive monthly gain. However, over those six months increases have averaged a modest 37,000, with no evidence of acceleration.

Unlike the estimate of total establishment employment to be released on Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), today’s figure does not include the effects of federal hiring — and now firing — for the 2010 Census.
Note: ADP is private nonfarm employment only (no government jobs).

The consensus was for ADP to show an increase of about 35,000 private sector jobs in July, so this was slightly above consensus.

The BLS reports on Friday, and the consensus is for a decrease of 70,000 payroll jobs in July, on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis, with the loss of around 145,000 temporary Census 2010 jobs (+75,000 ex-Census).