Thursday, April 29, 2010

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 448,000

by Bill McBride on 4/29/2010 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reports on weekly unemployment insurance claims:

In the week ending April 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 448,000, a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 459,000. The 4-week moving average was 462,500, an increase of 1,500 from the previous week's revised average of 461,000.
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The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending April 17 was 4,645,000, a decrease of 18,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 4,663,000.
Weekly Unemployment Claims Click on graph for larger image in new window.

This graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims increased this week by 1,500 to 462,500.

The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The current level of 448,000 (and 4-week average of 462,500) is still high, and suggests continuing weakness in the labor market.

The 4-week average first declined to this level in December 2009, and has essentially moved sideways for four months.