Thursday, May 14, 2009

MBA: Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Loan Originations Decline in Q1

by Bill McBride on 5/14/2009 10:19:00 AM

MBA Commercial Mortgage Index Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the Mortgage Bankers Association Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Originations index since 2001.

A couple of points:

  • Similar to residential, Fannie and Freddie are just about the only game in town. Conduit lending has essentially stopped for commercial real estate. Commercial bank and life insurance lending has slowed dramatically.

  • Lending is off across all property types, but especially for: Retail lending (off 90% from the peak originations), office lending (off 93% from the peak), and hotel lending (off 99% from the peak).

    Here is the press release from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA): MBA Survey Shows Continued Slowdown of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Lending in First Quarter 2009
    Commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations continued to drop in the first quarter of 2009, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations. First quarter originations were 70 percent lower than during the same period last year and 26 percent lower than during the fourth quarter of 2008. The year-over-year decrease was seen across all investor groups and most property types.

    “In the first quarter of 2009 we saw the effects of the continued recession coupled with little demand from borrowers and a constrained supply from lenders as a result of the credit crunch,” said Jamie Woodwell, Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research at the Mortgage Bankers Association. ...

    Decreases in total commercial/multifamily mortgage originations continued to be led by a drop in commercial mortgage-backed security (CMBS) conduit loans.
    There are more details in the quarterly report.

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