In Depth Analysis: CalculatedRisk Newsletter on Real Estate (Ad Free) Read it here.

Friday, June 24, 2011

Bank Failure #48 in 2011: Mountain Heritage Bank, Clayton, Georgia

by Calculated Risk on 6/24/2011 05:38:00 PM

From the FDIC: First American Bank and Trust Company, Athens, Georgia, Assumes All of the Deposits of Mountain Heritage Bank, Clayton, Georgia

As of March 31, 2011, Mountain Heritage Bank had approximately $103.7 million in total assets and $89.6 million in total deposits. ... The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $41.1 million. ... Mountain Heritage Bank is the 48th FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the fourteenth in Georgia.
What a surprise ... a bank in Georgia fails. That is a pretty big percentage loss.

NY Times: Overbuilding in Spain

by Calculated Risk on 6/24/2011 05:31:00 PM

Oh my ...

From the NY Times: Overbuilding in Spain Leaves Many White Elephants

Last March, local officials inaugurated a brand new airport in Castellón, a small city on Spain’s Mediterranean coast. They are still waiting for the first scheduled flight.
That made me laugh ...
Castellón Airport, built at a cost of €150 million, or $213 million, is not the only white elephant that now dots Spain’s infrastructure landscape. ... Across the country, nearly empty toll roads are struggling to turn a profit. Other projects are surviving only with continued public financing ...
This sounds like a classic bubble attitude: "Build it and they will come". Just a reminder that during a bubble, every project seems to make sense ... on paper.

Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 3.7 percent compared to same week in 2010

by Calculated Risk on 6/24/2011 01:55:00 PM

Here is the weekly update on hotels from HotelNewsNow.com: STR: Luxury segment leads weekly increases

Overall, the U.S. hotel industry’s occupancy rose 3.7% to 69.2%, ADR increased 3.3% to US$101.73, and RevPAR finished the week up 7.2% to US$70.37.
Note: ADR: Average Daily Rate, RevPAR: Revenue per Available Room.

The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using a four week average for the occupancy rate.

Hotel Occupancy RateClick on graph for larger image in graph gallery.

The summer leisure travel season is now starting, and the occupancy rate will increase over the next few of months. Right now the occupancy rate is tracking closer to 2008 than to 2010 - and well above 2009.

Even though the occupancy rate has mostly recovered back to 2008 levels, ADR and RevPAR are below the pre-recession levels.

Data Source: Smith Travel Research, Courtesy of HotelNewsNow.com

By request, here are links to the posts and graph for May Home Sales:
New Home Sales in May at 319 Thousand SAAR
May Existing Home Sales: 4.81 million SAAR, 9.3 months of supply
• Graph Galleries: New Home sales and Existing Home sales

FHA sells record number of REO in May, Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rate declines

by Calculated Risk on 6/24/2011 11:27:00 AM

A couple of updates ...

• FHA Sells record number of REO (Real Estate Owned) in May.

In Q1, Fannie and Freddie were foreclosing at record levels - and selling REO even faster - so their REO inventory actually declined. However, the FHA was apparently having REO inventory problems and the FHA's REO inventory increased in Q1.

It now appears the FHA REO problem has been solved. The FHA sold a record number of REO in April, and even more in May.

According to data from HUD (ht Keith Jurow), the FHA acquired 6,727 REO in May and sold a record 12,671 properties. The FHA REO inventory has declined from 69,9581 at the end of Q1 2011, to 60,587 at the end of May 2011. It appears REO at the F's will decline again in Q2.

1REO for March was revised up slightly.

• Freddie Mac reported that the Single-Family serious delinquency rate decreased to 3.53% in May from 3.57% in April. This is down from 4.06% in May 2010. Freddie's serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 4.20%.

The normal serious delinquency rate is under 1%, so this is still very high, but at least it is declining. (I'll post a graph when Fannie release their monthly delinquency report).

Note: These are loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure".

Q1 real GDP growth revised up to 1.9%, Durable-goods orders up 1.9%

by Calculated Risk on 6/24/2011 08:30:00 AM

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product: First Quarter 2011 (Third Estimate). This small upward revision, compared to the 2nd estimate, was because of a slight increase in Net exports, and a larger contribution from the change in private inventories - partially offset by a larger decrease in state and local government spending.

From the Census Bureau: Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and Orders May 2011

New orders for manufactured durable goods in May increased $3.6 billion or 1.9 percent to $195.6 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up two of the last three months, followed a 2.7 percent April decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.6 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 1.9 percent.
This was above the consensus of a 1.6 percent increase.