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Saturday, November 06, 2010

Employment: Participation Rate

by Calculated Risk on 11/06/2010 02:15:00 PM

The following graph shows the employment population ratio, the participation rate, and the unemployment rate (ht Dirk).

Employment Pop Ratio, participation and unemployment rates Click on graph for larger image.

Most of the increase in the participation rate in the '60 and '70s was from women joining the labor force. However one of the key features of the current employment recession is the decline in the participation rate.

The sharplest declines in the participation rate are for the "16 to 19" and the "20 to 24" age groups.

The partcipation rate for the "16 to 19" group has fallen from 41.4% in Dec 2007 to 35.2% in Oct 2010.

The participation rate for the "20 to 24" group has fallen from 74.0% to 71.4% in the same period.

The participation rate for the "55 and over" group has increased from 38.9% to 40.0% since December 2007. Of course the size of the "55 and over" group is increasing, and that might be pushing down the overall participation rate. I'll have more on this later this week.

Percent Job Losses During Recessions And a repeat of a popular graph ...

The second graph shows the job losses from the start of the employment recession, in percentage terms (as opposed to the number of jobs lost).

The dotted line is ex-Census hiring. The two lines have joined since the decennial Census is over.

Best to all

Live Webcast 10:45 AM ET: Bernanke at Jekyll Island

by Calculated Risk on 11/06/2010 10:30:00 AM

From the Atlanta Fed, here is a live webcast from Jekyll Island (Saturday 10:45AM ET).

Panelists will share personal insights and perspectives on the purpose, structure, and functions of the Federal Reserve System.

Panelist: Ben Bernanke, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Panelist: Alan Greenspan, Former Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Panelist: Gerald Corrigan, Managing Director, Goldman Sachs, and Former President, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Moderator: Raghuram Rajan, Professor of Finance, University of Chicago

Posts yesterday (Graphics Gallery, Employment report, Record Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO):

  • Graphics Gallery for Employment
  • October Employment Report: 151,000 Jobs, 9.6% Unemployment Rate
  • Employment-Population Ratio, Part Time Workers, Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  • Seasonal Retail Hiring off to fast start in October
  • Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO Inventory Increases 24% in Q3 from Q2 2010

  • Unofficial Problem Bank list at 894 Institutions

    by Calculated Risk on 11/06/2010 09:08:00 AM

    Note: this is an unofficial list of Problem Banks compiled only from public sources.

    Here is the unofficial problem bank list for Nov 5, 2010.

    Changes and comments from surferdude808:

    The number of institutions on the Unofficial Problem Bank List remained unchanged this week at 894 as there were four additions and four removals. However, aggregate assets increased to $416.5 billion from $410.7 billion.

    Removals this week are the failures that include K Bank, Randallstown, MD ($592 million); Pierce Commercial Bank, Tacoma, WA ($242 million); Western Commercial Bank, Woodland, CA ($111 million); and First Vietnamese American Bank, Westminster, CA ($52 million).

    Additions this week are Superior Bank, Tampa, FL ($3.4 billion Ticker: SUPR); The Suffolk County National Bank of Riverhead, Riverhead, NY ($1.7 billion Ticker: SUBK); Essex Bank, Tappahannock, VA ($1.2 billion Ticker: BTC); and Community Central Bank, Mount Clemens, MI ($543 million Ticker: CCBD).
    As always, thanks to surferdude808 for compiling this list!

    Friday, November 05, 2010

    Bank Failure #143: First Vietnamese American Bank, Westminster, California

    by Calculated Risk on 11/05/2010 09:22:00 PM

    There were 140 failures in 2009. This makes 143 and counting in 2010 ...

    Bair's valkyries ride
    someday this war's gonna end
    today is that day

    by Soylent Green is People

    From the FDIC: Grandpoint Bank, Los Angeles, California, Assumes All of the Deposits of First Vietnamese American Bank, Westminster, California
    As of September 30, 2010, First Vietnamese American Bank had approximately $48.0 million in total assets and $47.0 million in total deposits. ... The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $9.6 million. ... First Vietnamese American Bank is the 143rd FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the twelfth in California.

    Bank Failure #142: Pierce Commercial Bank, Tacoma, Washington

    by Calculated Risk on 11/05/2010 08:22:00 PM

    There were 140 failures in 2009. This makes 142 and counting in 2010 ...

    Ben's bucket 'o bucks
    Cataclysmic cash cloudburst
    Poor panacea

    by Soylent Green is People

    From the FDIC: Heritage Bank, Olympia, Washington, Assumes All of the Deposits of Pierce Commercial Bank, Tacoma, Washington
    As of September 30, 2010, Pierce Commercial Bank had approximately $221.1 million in total assets and $193.5 million in total deposits. ... The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $21.3 million. ... Pierce Commercial Bank is the 142nd FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the eleventh in Washington..