by Calculated Risk on 5/31/2025 08:11:00 AM
Saturday, May 31, 2025
Schedule for Week of June 1, 2025
The key report scheduled for this week is the May employment report.
Other key reports include the May ISM Manufacturing, Vehicle Sales and April trade balance.
10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for May. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 49.2, up from 48.7 in April.
10:00 AM: Construction Spending for April. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in construction spending.
1:00 PM: Speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Opening Remarks, At the Federal Reserve Board’s International Finance Division 75th Anniversary Conference, Washington, D.C.
This graph shows job openings (black line), hires (purple), Layoff, Discharges and other (red column), and Quits (light blue column) from the JOLTS.
Jobs openings decreased in March to 7.19 million from 7.48 million in February. The number of job openings (black) were down 11% year-over-year.
Quits were unchanged year-over-year.
Late: Light vehicle sales for May.
The consensus is for light vehicle sales to be 16.4 million SAAR in May, down from 17.3 million in April (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).
The consensus is for light vehicle sales to be 16.4 million SAAR in May, down from 17.3 million in April (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).
This graph shows light vehicle sales since the BEA started keeping data in 1967. The dashed line is the sales rate for last month.
----- Wednesday, June 4th -----
7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.
8:15 AM: The ADP Employment Report for May. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 120,000 payroll jobs added in May, up from 62,000 in April.
10:00 AM: the ISM Services Index for May. The consensus is for a reading of 52.0, up from 51.6.
----- Thursday, June 5th -----
8:30 AM: Trade Balance report for April from the Census Bureau.
This graph shows the U.S. trade deficit, with and without petroleum.
7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.
8:15 AM: The ADP Employment Report for May. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 120,000 payroll jobs added in May, up from 62,000 in April.
10:00 AM: the ISM Services Index for May. The consensus is for a reading of 52.0, up from 51.6.
This graph shows the U.S. trade deficit, with and without petroleum.
The blue line is the total deficit, and the black line is the petroleum surplus, and the red line is the trade deficit ex-petroleum products.
The consensus is the trade deficit to be $117.3 billion. The U.S. trade deficit was at $140.5 Billion in March.
8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims of 230 thousand, down from 240 thousand last week.
----- Friday, June 6th -----
8:30 AM: Employment Report for May. The consensus is for 130,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 4.2%.
There were 177,000 jobs added in April, and the unemployment rate was at 4.2%.
This graph shows the jobs added per month since January 2021.
The consensus is the trade deficit to be $117.3 billion. The U.S. trade deficit was at $140.5 Billion in March.
8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims of 230 thousand, down from 240 thousand last week.
There were 177,000 jobs added in April, and the unemployment rate was at 4.2%.
This graph shows the jobs added per month since January 2021.