Here is a table of some of the forecasts over the last two months.
| Merrill | Goldman | GDPNow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/30/21 | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
| 8/20/21 | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% |
| 9/10/21 | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| 9/17/21 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| 9/24/21 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
From BofA Merrill Lynch:
We continue to track 4.5% qoq saar for 3Q GDP. [Sept 24 estimate]From Goldman Sachs:
emphasis added
We left our Q3 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +4.5% (qoq ar). [Sept 24 estimate]And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2021 is 3.7 percent on September 21, up from 3.6 percent on September 16. [Sept 21 estimate]