Wards notes low inventories and supply issues (mircochips) are impacting sales.
This graph shows actual sales from the BEA (Blue), and Wards forecast for July (Red).
The Wards forecast of 14.8 million SAAR, would be down about 4% from last month, and up 1% from a year ago (sales were recovering in June 2020 from the depths of the pandemic).