Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in November

Economist Tom Lawler sent me the updated table below of short sales, foreclosures and cash buyers for several selected cities in November.

From CR: This is just a few markets, but total "distressed" share is down significantly, foreclosure are down in most areas, and short sales are off sharply year-over-year.


The All Cash Share (last two columns) is mostly declining year-over-year.  As investors pull back in markets (like Vegas and Phoenix) the share of all cash buyers will probably decline.

Note: Existing home sales for November will be released on Thursday, and Tom Lawler is projecting the NAR will report sales of 4.98 million on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis. The consensus is for sales to decline to a 5.05 million SAAR, down from 5.12 SAAR in October.

Short Sales ShareForeclosure Sales Share Total "Distressed" ShareAll Cash Share
Nov-13Nov-12Nov-13Nov-12Nov-13Nov-12Nov-13Nov-12
Las Vegas21.0%41.2%7.0%10.7%28.0%51.9%43.7%52.7%
Reno17.0%41.0%6.0%9.0%23.0%50.0%  
Phoenix7.8%23.2%8.0%12.9%15.8%36.1%34.0%43.2%
Sacramento11.0%36.1%4.6%11.5%15.6%47.6%25.0%37.1%
Minneapolis5.0%11.1%17.0%24.5%22.0%35.6%  
Mid-Atlantic7.5%11.9%8.1%8.7%15.7%20.6%19.6%20.0%
Orlando13.5%29.4%20.3%21.1%33.8%50.5%46.5%54.2%
California*12.3%26.2%6.8%16.9%19.1%43.1%  
Bay Area CA*9.1%23.2%3.7%12.5%12.8%35.7%22.0%28.9%
So. California*12.7%26.6%6.3%15.4%19.0%42.0%27.2%34.0%
Hampton Roads    26.9%28.3%  
Northeast Florida    36.4%41.8%  
Chicago    35.0%43.0%  
Tucson      32.2%0.338
Toledo      37.2%0.409
Des Moines      19.9%22.1%
Peoria      21.8%21.2%
Omaha      21.6%19.8%
Spokane  16.0%9.1%    
Houston  7.7%15.0%    
Memphis*  20.4%24.4%    
Birmingham AL  21.0%26.5%    
Springfield IL  17.0%15.8%    
*share of existing home sales, based on property records