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Friday, May 10, 2024

Q2 GDP Tracking: 3%+

by Calculated Risk on 5/10/2024 11:30:00 AM

From Goldman:

We boosted our Q2 GDP tracking estimate by 0.1pp to +3.4% (qoq ar) and left our domestic final sales estimate unchanged at +2.7%. [May 7th estimate]
emphasis added
And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2024 is 4.2 percent on May 8, up from 3.3 percent on May 2. After recent releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US Census Bureau, the Institute for Supply Management, and the US Census Bureau, the nowcasts of second-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 3.2 percent and 4.1 percent, respectively, to 3.9 percent and 6.8 percent, while the nowcast of the contribution of the change in real net exports to second-quarter real GDP growth decreased from -0.05 percentage points to -0.10 percentage points. [May 8th estimate]