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Tuesday, January 30, 2024

Comments on November Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices

by Calculated Risk on 1/30/2024 10:08:00 AM

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.1% year-over-year in November

Excerpt:

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for November ("November" is a 3-month average of September, October and November closing prices). November closing prices include some contracts signed in July, so there is a significant lag to this data. Here is a graph of the month-over-month (MoM) change in the Case-Shiller National Index Seasonally Adjusted (SA).

Case-Shiller MoM House PricesThe MoM increase in the seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller National Index was at 0.24%. This was the ninth consecutive MoM increase, but the smallest increase since February 2023.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, prices increased in 14 of the 20 Case-Shiller cities on a month-to-month basis. Seasonally adjusted, San Francisco has fallen 8.8% from the recent peak, Seattle is down 7.2% from the peak, Portland down 4.5%, and Phoenix is down 3.4%.
There is much more in the article.