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Monday, May 15, 2023

MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.51% in April"

by Calculated Risk on 5/15/2023 04:00:00 PM

From the MBA: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.51% in April

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) monthly Loan Monitoring Survey revealed that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 4 basis points from 0.55% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior month to 0.51% as of April 30, 2023. According to MBA’s estimate, 255,000 homeowners are in forbearance plans. Mortgage servicers have provided forbearance to approximately 7.8 million borrowers since April 2020.

In April 2023, the share of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans in forbearance decreased 2 basis points to 0.24%. Ginnie Mae loans in forbearance decreased 7 basis points to 1.11%, and the forbearance share for portfolio loans and private-label securities (PLS) decreased 7 basis points to 0.61%.

“While the number of loans in forbearance continues to dwindle, there was some deterioration in the performance of post-forbearance workouts,” said Marina Walsh, CMB, MBA’s Vice President of Industry Analysis. “About three out of four borrowers are remaining current on their post-forbearance workouts, but this is down from the average of four out of five borrowers that was relatively consistent in 2022 and into 2023.”

Added Walsh, “Overall servicing portfolios remain healthy, and some of the worsening monthly performance can be attributed to seasonal factors such as tax refunds that pushed up the March results and then normalized in April. MBA’s forecast calls for an economic slowdown and an increase in unemployment later this year and into 2024, which will impact loan performance.
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MBA Forbearance Survey Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the percent of portfolio in forbearance by investor type over time.

The share of forbearance plans has been decreasing, declined to 0.51% in April from 0.55% in March.

At the end of April, there were about 255,000 homeowners in forbearance plans.