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Wednesday, December 01, 2021

ADP: Private Employment increased 534,000 in November

by Calculated Risk on 12/01/2021 08:19:00 AM

From ADP:

Private sector employment increased by 534,000 jobs from October to November according to the November ADP® National Employment ReportTM. Broadly distributed to the public each month, free of charge, the ADP National Employment Report is produced by the ADP Research Institute® in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics. The report, which is derived from ADP’s actual data of those who are on a company’s payroll, measures the change in total nonfarm private employment each month on a seasonally-adjusted basis

“The labor market recovery continued to power through its challenges last month,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. “November’s job gains bring the three month average to 543,000 monthly jobs added, a modest uptick from the job pace earlier this year. Job gains have eclipsed 15 million since the recovery began, though 5 million jobs short of pre-pandemic levels. Service providers, which are more vulnerable to the pandemic, have dominated job gains this year. It’s too early to tell if the Omicron variant could potentially slow the jobs recovery in coming months.”
emphasis added
This was close to the consensus forecast of 525,000 for this report.

The BLS report will be released Friday, and the consensus is for 563 thousand non-farm payroll jobs added in November. The ADP report has not been very useful in predicting the BLS report.