Thursday, May 03, 2018

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 211,000, 4-week average lowest since 1973

by Bill McBride on 5/03/2018 08:33:00 AM

The DOL reported:

In the week ending April 28, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 211,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 209,000. The 4-week moving average was 221,500, a decrease of 7,750 from the previous week's unrevised average of 229,250. This is the lowest level for this average since March 3, 1973 when it was 221,250.

Claims taking procedures in Puerto Rico and in the Virgin Islands have still not returned to normal.
emphasis added
The previous week was unrevised.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased to 221,500.

This was lower than the consensus forecast. The low level of claims suggest relatively few layoffs.