Wednesday, February 28, 2018

Earlier: Chicago PMI Declines in February, Still Solid

by Bill McBride on 2/28/2018 12:22:00 PM

From the Chicago PMI: February Chicago Business Barometer Declines to 61.9

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer fell 3.8 points to 61.9 in February, down from 65.7 in January, to the lowest level since August 2017.

Business activity continued to expand in February, although at a softer pace than in January. All five of the Barometer components receded on the month, but despite a second straight monthly fall, the Barometer was still up 8% on last February and above the 2017 average of 60.8.
...
“Disruptive weather conditions this month and large promotions at the back-end of last year appear to have weighed on demand and output in February, but despite the Barometer’s broad-based decline activity remains upbeat,” said Jamie Satchi, Economist at MNI Indicators.

“That said, a large proportion of firms are anxious about the cost of input materials, and warn they could pass on these higher costs to consumers if inflationary pressures do not abate,” he added.
emphasis added
This was well below the consensus forecast of 65.0, but still a solid reading.