by Calculated Risk on 12/05/2017 03:41:00 PM

Every month, prior to writing my employment preview, I like to look at revisions for that month in prior years.

Here is a table of revisions for November since 2005.  Note that most of the revisions have been up.   This doesn't mean that the November 2017 revision will be up, but it does seem likely.  Although, in recent years, the revisions have been more evenly split between up and down.
 
The fairly large upward revision in 2005 was related to the hurricanes that year.

November Employment Report (000s)
Year	Initial	Revised	Revision
2005	215	341	126
2006	132	209	77
2007	94	114	20
2008	-533	-766	-233
2009	-11	-2	9
2010	39	119	80
2011	120	141	21
2012	146	132	-14
2013	203	258	55
2014	321	312	-9
2015	211	272	61
2016	178	164	-14

Note: In 2008, the BLS significantly under reported job losses. That wasn't surprising since the initial models the BLS used missed turning points (something I wrote about in 2007). The BLS has since improved this model.