Saturday, October 14, 2017

Schedule for Week of Oct 15, 2017

by Bill McBride on 10/14/2017 08:09:00 AM

The key economic reports this week are September housing starts and existing home sales.

For manufacturing, September industrial production, and the October New York Fed and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys, will be released this week.

This week is bookended by two speeches by Fed Chair Janet Yellen (on Sunday, and then on Friday night).

----- Sunday, Oct 15th -----

At 9:00 AM ET, Speech by Fed Chair Janet Yellen, The Economy and Monetary Policy, At the 32nd Annual G30 International Banking Seminar, Washington, D.C.

----- Monday, Oct 16th -----

8:30 AM: The New York Fed Empire State manufacturing survey for October. The consensus is for a reading of 20.0, down from 24.4.

----- Tuesday, Oct 17th -----

Industrial Production9:15 AM: The Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for September.

This graph shows industrial production since 1967.

The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to increase to 76.2%.

10:00 AM: The October NAHB homebuilder survey. The consensus is for a reading of 64, unchanged from 64 in September. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.

----- Wednesday, Oct 18th -----

7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

Total Housing Starts and Single Family Housing Starts8:30 AM: Housing Starts for September. The consensus is for 1.170 million SAAR, down from the August rate of 1.180 million.

This graph shows total and single unit starts since 1968.

The graph shows the huge collapse following the housing bubble, and then - after moving sideways for a couple of years - housing is now recovering.

During the day: The AIA's Architecture Billings Index for September (a leading indicator for commercial real estate).

2:00 PM: the Federal Reserve Beige Book, an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts.

----- Thursday, Oct 19th -----

8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 240 thousand initial claims, down from 243 thousand the previous week.

8:30 AM: the Philly Fed manufacturing survey for October. The consensus is for a reading of 20.2, down from 23.8.

----- Friday, Oct 20th -----

Existing Home Sales10:00 AM: Existing Home Sales for September from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is for 5.30 million SAAR, down from 5.35 million in August.

The graph shows existing home sales from 1994 through the report last month.

10:00 AM: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment (Monthly) for September 2017

At 7:30 PM, Speech by Fed Chair Janet Yellen, Monetary Policy Since the Financial Crisis, At the National Economists Club Herbert Stein Memorial Lecture and Annual Dinner, Washington, D.C