by Calculated Risk on 6/14/2017 02:09:00 PM
Wednesday, June 14, 2017
FOMC Projections and Press Conference Link
Statement here. 25 bps rate hike.
Yellen press conference video here.
On the projections, projections for GDP in 2017 narrowed slightly.
| GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Change in Real GDP1 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
| June 2017 | 2.1 to 2.2 | 1.8 to 2.2 | 1.8 to 2.0 |
| Mar 2017 | 2.0 to 2.2 | 1.8 to 2.3 | 1.8 to 2.0 |
The unemployment rate was at 4.3% in May, so unemployment rate projections were revised down.
| Unemployment projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate2 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
| June 2017 | 4.2 to 4.3 | 4.0 to 4.3 | 4.1 to 4.4 |
| Mar 2017 | 4.5 to 4.6 | 4.3 to 4.6 | 4.3 to 4.7 |
As of April, PCE inflation was up 1.7% from April 2016. Inflation was revised down for 2017.
| Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| PCE Inflation1 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
| June 2017 | 1.6 to 1.7 | 1.8 to 2.0 | 2.0 to 2.1 |
| Mar 2017 | 1.8 to 2.0 | 1.9 to 2.0 | 2.0 to 2.1 |
PCE core inflation was up 1.5% in April year-over-year. Core PCE inflation was revised down for 2017.
| Core Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Core Inflation1 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
| June 2017 | 1.6 to 1.7 | 1.8 to 2.0 | 2.0 to 2.1 |
| Mar 2017 | 1.8 to 1.9 | 1.9 to 2.0 | 2.0 to 2.1 |


