Tuesday, March 07, 2017

CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.9% Year-over-year in January

by Bill McBride on 3/07/2017 11:05:00 AM

Notes: This CoreLogic House Price Index report is for January. The recent Case-Shiller index release was for December. The CoreLogic HPI is a three month weighted average and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA).

From CoreLogic: CoreLogic US Home Price Report Shows Prices Up 6.9 Percent in January 2017

Home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased year over year by 6.9 percent in January 2017 compared with January 2016 and increased month over month by 0.7 percent in January 2017 compared with December 2016, according to the CoreLogic HPI.
...
“With lean for-sale inventories and low rental vacancy rates, many markets have seen housing prices outpace inflation,” said Dr. Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic. “Over the 12 months through January of this year, the CoreLogic Home Price Index recorded a 6.9 percent rise in home prices nationally and the CoreLogic Single-Family Rental Index was up 2.7 percent—both rising faster than inflation.”
emphasis added
CoreLogic House Price Index Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the national CoreLogic HPI data since 1976. January 2000 = 100.

The index was up 0.7% in January (NSA), and is up 6.9% over the last year.

This index is not seasonally adjusted, and this was another solid month-to-month increase.

The index is still 4.0% below the bubble peak in nominal terms (not inflation adjusted).

CoreLogic YoY House Price IndexThe second graph shows the YoY change in nominal terms (not adjusted for inflation).

The YoY increase had been moving sideways over the last two years, but might have picked up recently (the recent pickup could be revised away).

The year-over-year comparison has been positive for five consecutive years since turning positive year-over-year in February 2012.