Thursday, May 05, 2016

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 274,000

by Bill McBride on 5/05/2016 08:33:00 AM

The DOL reported:

In the week ending April 30, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 274,000, an increase of 17,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 257,000. The 4-week moving average was 258,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's unrevised average of 256,000.

There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims. This marks 61 consecutive weeks of initial claims below 300,000, the longest streak since 1973.
The previous week was unrevised.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims increased to 258,000.

This is the lowest level for the four-week average since 1973.

This was above the consensus forecast of 262,000. The low level of the 4-week average suggests few layoffs.