by Bill McBride on 5/13/2016 11:12:00 AM
Friday, May 13, 2016
During the recession, I started following the Sacramento market to look for changes in the mix of houses sold (equity, REOs, and short sales). For a few years, not much changed. But in 2012 and 2013, we saw some significant changes with a dramatic shift from distressed sales to more normal equity sales.
This data suggests healing in the Sacramento market and other distressed markets are showing similar improvement. Note: The Sacramento Association of REALTORS® started breaking out REOs in May 2008, and short sales in June 2009.
In April, total sales were down 3.3% from April 2015, and conventional equity sales were unchanged compared to the same month last year.
In April, 6.5% of all resales were distressed sales. This was down from 10.1% last month, and down from 11.9% in April 2015.
The percentage of REOs was at 3.3% in April, and the percentage of short sales was 3.2%.
Here are the statistics.
Press Release: Inventory stationary, days on market falling, prices inch upward
Sales volume increased 7.9% from 1,440 in April to 1,554. This number is a 3.3% decrease from April 2015 (1,607 sales).Click on graph for larger image.
Although the total Active Listing Inventory increased 6.5% (1,973 to 2,102), the Months of Inventory remained at 1.4 months. Compared with the total Listing Inventory of April 2015, the current number is down 17.4%, where the Months of Inventory was 1.6 and numbered 2,546 units.
This graph shows the percent of REO sales, short sales and conventional sales.
There has been a sharp increase in conventional (equity) sales that started in 2012 (blue) as the percentage of distressed sales declined sharply.
Active Listing Inventory for single family homes decreased 17.4% year-over-year (YoY) in April. This was the twelfth consecutive monthly YoY decrease in inventory in Sacramento.
Cash buyers accounted for 16.0% of all sales (frequently investors).
Summary: This data suggests a more normal market with fewer distressed sales, more equity sales, and less investor buying - but limited inventory.