by Bill McBride on 5/20/2016 10:09:00 AM
Friday, May 20, 2016
Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 1.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.45 million in April from an upwardly revised 5.36 million in March. After last month's gain, sales are now up 6.0 percent from April 2015. ...Click on graph for larger image.
Total housing inventory at the end of April increased 9.2 percent to 2.14 million existing homes available for sale, but is still 3.6 percent lower than a year ago (2.22 million). Unsold inventory is at a 4.7-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.4 months in March.
This graph shows existing home sales, on a Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR) basis since 1993.
Sales in April (5.45 million SAAR) were 1.7% higher than last month, and were 6.0% above the April 2015 rate.
The second graph shows nationwide inventory for existing homes.
According to the NAR, inventory increased to 2.14 million in April from 1.96 million in March. Headline inventory is not seasonally adjusted, and inventory usually decreases to the seasonal lows in December and January, and peaks in mid-to-late summer.
The third graph shows the year-over-year (YoY) change in reported existing home inventory and months-of-supply. Since inventory is not seasonally adjusted, it really helps to look at the YoY change. Note: Months-of-supply is based on the seasonally adjusted sales and not seasonally adjusted inventory.
Inventory decreased 3.6% year-over-year in April compared to April 2015.
Months of supply was at 4.7 months in April.
This was slightly above consensus expectations. For existing home sales, a key number is inventory - and inventory is still low. I'll have more later ...
Posted by Bill McBride on 5/20/2016 10:09:00 AM