Friday, November 13, 2015

Hotels: RevPAR up 35% over the last 6 years

by Bill McBride on 11/13/2015 02:12:00 PM

RevPAR (revenue per available room) was $80.23 last week. For the same week in 2009, RevPAR was $59.28. An increase of 35% in six years.

Here is weekly update on hotel occupancy from HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US results for week ending 7 November

The U.S. hotel industry recorded positive results in the three key performance measurements during the week of 1-7 November 2015, according to data from STR, Inc.

In year-over-year measurements, the industry’s occupancy increased 0.2% to 66.4%. Average daily rate for the week was up 3.1% to US$120.73. Revenue per available room increased 3.3% to finish the week at US$80.23.
emphasis added
The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using the four week average.  Hotels are now in the Fall business travel season.

Hotel Occupancy RateThe red line is for 2015, dashed orange is 2014, blue is the median, and black is for 2009 - the worst year since the Great Depression for hotels.  Purple is for 2000.

I added 2001 (yellow) to show the impact of 9/11/2001 on hotel occupancy.  Occupancy was already down in 2001 compared to 2000 due to the recession, and then really collapsed following 9/11.

For 2015, the 4-week average of the occupancy rate is solidly above the median for 2000-2007, and above last year.

Right now 2015 is above 2000 (best year for hotels), and 2015 will probably be the best year ever for hotels.

Occupancy Rate Year-to-date:
1) 2015 67.6%
2) 2000 66.9%
3) 2014 66.4%

Data Source: Smith Travel Research, Courtesy of HotelNewsNow.com