Wednesday, July 15, 2015

CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in May

by Bill McBride on 7/15/2015 05:13:00 PM

Here is a price index for commercial real estate that I follow. 

From CoStar: Commercial Property Price Indices Spring Forward In May

FOLLOWING SLOWDOWN IN APRIL, CRE PRICES REBOUNDED IN MAY WITH STRONG SHOWING ACROSS THE BOARD. The two broadest measures of aggregate pricing for commercial properties within the CCRSI—the value-weighted U.S. Composite Index and the equal-weighted U.S. Composite Index—gained 1.4% and 1.7%, respectively, in the month of May 2015. The value-weighted U.S. Composite Index advanced 12.2% in the trailing 12 months ended May 2015, and now stands 12% above its prior peak, reflecting the strong recovery of larger, higher-value properties. The equal-weighted U.S. Composite Index began its recovery later in the cycle but has increased at a faster rate of 14.1% in the trailing 12 months ended May 2015 as smaller commercial properties continued to gain favor with investors.
...
CRE SPACE ABSORPTION SOARED TO HIGHEST LEVEL YET IN RECOVERY. For the 12 months ended as of the second quarter of 2015, net absorption across the three major commercial property types — office, retail, and industrial — totaled 575.5 million square feet, a 39.3% increase over the 12-month period ended as of the second quarter of 2014, and the highest annual total on record since 2008.
emphasis added
Commercial Real Estate Prices Click on graph for larger image.

This graph from CoStar shows the the value-weighted U.S. Composite Index and the equal-weighted U.S. Composite Index indexes.

The value-weighted index declined 1.4% in May and is up 12.2% year-over-year.

The equal-weighted index declined 1.7% in May and up 14.1% year-over-year.

Note: These are repeat sales indexes - like Case-Shiller for residential - but this is based on far fewer pairs.