Thursday, May 07, 2015

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 265,000, Lowest 4-Week average in 15 years

by Bill McBride on 5/07/2015 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reported:

In the week ending May 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 265,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 262,000. The 4-week moving average was 279,500, a decrease of 4,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 283,750. This is the lowest level for this average since May 6, 2000 when it was 279,250.

There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims.
The previous week was unrevised.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.

Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased to 279,500.

This was well below the consensus forecast of 285,000, and the low level of the 4-week average suggests few layoffs. This is the lowest 4-week average in 15 years (since May 2000).