by Bill McBride on 5/16/2015 08:55:00 AM
Saturday, May 16, 2015
The key economic reports this week are April Housing Starts on Tuesday and April Existing on Sales on Thursday.
For manufacturing, the April Philly and Kansas City Fed surveys will be released this week.
For prices, April CPI will be released on Friday.
Also on Friday, Fed Chair Janet Yellen will speak on the U.S. economic outlook.
10:00 AM: The May NAHB homebuilder survey. The consensus is for a reading of 57, up from 56 last month. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.
8:30 AM: Housing Starts for April.
Total housing starts increased to 926 thousand (SAAR) in March. Single family starts increased to 618 thousand SAAR in March.
The consensus is for total housing starts to increase to 1.029 million (SAAR) in April.
7:00 AM: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.
During the day: The AIA's Architecture Billings Index for April (a leading indicator for commercial real estate).
2:00 PM: the Fed will release the FOMC Minutes for the Meeting of April 28-29, 2015.
8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for claims to increase to 270 thousand from 264 thousand.
8:30 AM ET: Chicago Fed National Activity Index for April. This is a composite index of other data.
10:00 AM: the Philly Fed manufacturing survey for May. The consensus is for a reading of 8.0, up from 7.5 last month (above zero indicates expansion).
10:00 AM: Existing Home Sales for April from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).
The consensus is for sales of 5.22 million on seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) basis. Sales in March were at a 5.19 million SAAR. Economist Tom Lawler estimates the NAR will report sales of 5.20 million SAAR.
A key will be the reported year-over-year change in inventory of homes for sale.
11:00 AM: the Kansas City Fed manufacturing survey for May.
1:30 PM: Speech by Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, Past, Present, and Future Challenges for the Euro Area, At the ECB Forum on Central Banking, Linho Sintra, Portugal
8:30 AM: The Consumer Price Index for April from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in prices, and a 0.1% increase in core CPI.
1:00 PM: Speech by Fed Chair Janet L. Yellen, U.S. Economic Outlook, At the Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce Economic Outlook Luncheon, Providence, Rhode Island