Sunday, April 05, 2015

Monday: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

by Bill McBride on 4/05/2015 07:28:00 PM

From CNBC: Jobs shocker may show economy is in real trouble

The economic data has been weak recently - and Q1 GDP will be weak. This might be due to a combination of seasonal factors, poor weather, the West Cost port slowdown, the stronger dollar and lower oil prices (the negative impacts are more obvious, but overall lower prices will be a positive).

But there is no recession in sight. R-E-L-A-X.

• Early, Black Knight Mortgage Monitor for February

• At 10:00 AM ET, the Fed will release the monthly Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI).

• At 10:00 AM, ISM non-Manufacturing Index for March. The consensus is for a reading of 56.7, down from 56.9 in February. Note: Above 50 indicates expansion.

Schedule for Week of April 5, 2015

From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures: currently S&P futures are down 17 and DOW futures are down 142 (fair value).

Oil prices were mixed over the last week with WTI futures at $49.70 per barrel and Brent at $55.36 per barrel.  A year ago, WTI was at $101, and Brent was at $106 - so prices are down 50% or so year-over-year.

Below is a graph from for nationwide gasoline prices. Nationally prices are up to $2.39 per gallon (down more than $1.10 per gallon from a year ago).

If you click on "show crude oil prices", the graph displays oil prices for WTI, not Brent; gasoline prices in most of the U.S. are impacted more by Brent prices.

Orange County Historical Gas Price Charts Provided by