Thursday, February 12, 2015

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 304,000

by Bill McBride on 2/12/2015 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reported:

In the week ending February 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 304,000, an increase of 25,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 278,000 to 279,000. The 4-week moving average was 289,750, a decrease of 3,250 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 292,750 to 293,000.

There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims.
The previous week was revised up to 279,000.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.

Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased to 289,750.

This was above the consensus forecast of 285,000, and the low level of the 4-week average suggests few layoffs.