Thursday, January 29, 2015

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 265,000

by Bill McBride on 1/29/2015 08:34:00 AM

The DOL reported:

In the week ending January 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 265,000, a decrease of 43,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the lowest level for initial claims since April 15, 2000 when it was 259,000. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 307,000 to 308,000. The 4-week moving average was 298,500, a decrease of 8,250 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 306,500 to 306,750.

There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims.
The previous week was revised up to 308,000.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.

Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased to 298,500.

This was much lower than the consensus forecast of 300,000, and the low level of the 4-week average suggests few layoffs.