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Friday, July 25, 2014

Hotels: Record High Occupancy Rate for Week Ending July 19th

by Calculated Risk on 7/25/2014 11:10:00 AM

From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US hotel results for week ending 19 July

In year-over-year measurements, the industry’s occupancy rate rose 2.9 percent to 77.1 percent. Average daily rate increased 4.1 percent to finish the week at US$117.57. Revenue per available room for the week was up 7.1 percent to finish at US$90.68.
emphasis added
Note: ADR: Average Daily Rate, RevPAR: Revenue per Available Room.

This is the highest occupancy rate for any week since at least January 2000.  The previous high was 77.0% in late July 2000.

And from HotelNewNow.com: June US hotel occupancy best of this century
Just how good is the current state of demand? Take a bite of this juicy nugget: June occupancy of 71.7% is the highest of any June this century.

The above factoid was culled by Jan Freitag, senior VP of global development for STR and our resident hotel data aficionado. Jan’s also a master of context, explaining this milestone another way: The average occupancy for U.S. hotels is now higher than the previous peak recorded in June 2007 (71.1%).

To understand how we got here, you need look no further than economics 101. For much of the past few years, the relationship between supply and demand has been, well, just great.

As of June, demand growth (12-month moving average) was up 3.2%, according to STR data. Supply growth? Only 0.8%.

In other words, supply growth still has had no impact, as Freitag points out.
...
June ADR (12-month moving average) was $112, up 3.9%. The result is revenue per available room of $71, which represents growth of 6.4%.

Both those ADR and RevPAR numbers represent all-time highs for the U.S. hotel industry.
The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate for the last 15 years using the four week average.

Hotel Occupancy Rate Click on graph for larger image.

The red line is for 2014, blue is the median, and black is for 2009 - the worst year since the Great Depression for hotels.  Purple is for 2000.

The 4-week average of the occupancy rate is solidly above the median for 2000-2007, and is at the same level as in 2000. 

Right now it looks like 2014 will be the best year since 2000 for hotels.   A very strong year ...

Data Source: Smith Travel Research, Courtesy of HotelNewsNow.com