Thursday, April 10, 2014

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 300,000

by Bill McBride on 4/10/2014 08:35:00 AM

The DOL reports:

In the week ending April 5, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 300,000, a decrease of 32,000 from the previous week's revised level. The last time intial claims were this low was May 12, 2007 when they were 297,000. The previous week's level was revised up by 6,000 from 326,000 to 332,000. The 4-week moving average was 316,250, a decrease of 4,750 from the previous week's revised average.
The previous week was revised up from 326,000.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.

Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased to 316,250.

This was lower than the consensus forecast of 320,000.  The 4-week average is close to normal levels during an expansion.

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