Wednesday, October 30, 2013

ADP: Private Employment increased 130,000 in October

by Bill McBride on 10/30/2013 08:15:00 AM

From ADP:

Private sector employment increased by 130,000 jobs from September to October, according to the October ADP National Employment Report®. ... The report, which is derived from ADP’s actual payroll data, measures the change in total nonfarm private employment each month on a seasonally-adjusted basis. September’s job gain was revised down from 166,000 to 145,000.
...
Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said, "The government shutdown and debt limit brinksmanship hurt the already softening job market in October. Average monthly growth has fallen below 150,000. Any further weakening would signal rising unemployment. The weaker job growth is evident across most industries and company sizes.”
This was a little below the consensus forecast for 138,000 private sector jobs added in the ADP report. 

Note: ADP hasn't been very useful in predicting the BLS report on a monthly basis. The BLS report for October will be delayed until next Friday, November 8th, due to the government shutdown.

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