Thursday, January 10, 2013

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 371,000

by Bill McBride on 1/10/2013 08:37:00 AM

The DOL reports:

In the week ending January 5, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 371,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 367,000. The 4-week moving average was 365,750, an increase of 6,750 from the previous week's revised average of 359,000.

The previous week was revised down from 372,000.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.


Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims increased to 365,750.

Weekly claims are very volatile during and just after the holiday season, but even with the increase, the 4-week average is near the low for last year.

The recent spike was due to hurricane Sandy.

Weekly claims were above the 362,000 consensus forecast.


And here is a long term graph of weekly claims:

Note: There are large seasonal factors in December and January, and that can make for fairly large swings for weekly claims.


All current Employment Graphs

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